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@ARTICLE{Yessimbet:917179,
author = {Yessimbet, Kamilya and Shepherd, Theodore G. and Ossó,
Albert C. and Steiner, Andrea K.},
title = {{P}athways of {I}nfluence {B}etween {N}orthern {H}emisphere
{B}locking and {S}tratospheric {P}olar {V}ortex
{V}ariability},
journal = {Geophysical research letters},
volume = {49},
number = {23},
issn = {0094-8276},
address = {Hoboken, NJ},
publisher = {Wiley},
reportid = {FZJ-2023-00411},
pages = {e2022GL100895},
year = {2022},
abstract = {We apply a causal inference-based framework to test and
quantify previously suggested causalrelationships between
Northern Hemisphere blocking, upward wave-activity fluxes
and stratospheric polarvortex (SPV) variability using
reanalysis data. We show that the influence of blocking on
the polar vortex isentirely mediated by upward wave-activity
fluxes, as the classical view would suggest. However, the
causalpathway is not completely straightforward. In contrast
to the vortex-weakening effect of European blocking,the
vortex-strengthening effect of west Pacific blocking on
lower stratospheric wave-activity fluxes is onlypartially
mediated by upper tropospheric wave-activity fluxes. In
addition, only two-thirds of the effectof upper tropospheric
wave-activity fluxes on polar vortex variability is mediated
by lower stratosphericwave-activity fluxes. We also show
that sudden stratospheric warmings are not entirely
explainable in terms ofupward wave-activity fluxes. These
findings help clarify the pathways of influence between
blocking and SPVvariability.},
cin = {JSC / IEK-7},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406 / I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-7-20101013},
pnm = {5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation $\&$ Data Life Cycle Labs
(SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511) / 2112 - Climate
Feedbacks (POF4-211)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5111 / G:(DE-HGF)POF4-2112},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000928052000028},
doi = {10.1029/2022GL100895},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/917179},
}