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@TECHREPORT{Voegele:141026,
      author       = {Voegele, Stefan and Hansen, Patrick and Kuckshinrichs,
                      Wilhelm and Schürmann, Karin and Schenk, Olga and Pesch,
                      Thiemo and Heinrichs, Heidi and Markewitz, Peter},
      title        = {{K}onsistente {Z}ukunftsbilder im {R}ahmen von
                      {E}nergieszenarien. {J}ülich, {F}orschungszentrum
                      {J}ülich.},
      number       = {STE-Report 03/2013},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2013-06231, STE-Report 03/2013},
      pages        = {30},
      year         = {2013},
      abstract     = {The generation of scenarios of future energy systems and
                      its assessment within the scope of a sustainability approach
                      are among the central tasks of energy systems analy‐sis.
                      The IEK‐STE approach comprises 4 central steps: (1)
                      generation of consistent energy futures, (2) modeling of
                      energy systems, (3) development of an indicator set,
                      suitable to characterize sustainability of energy systems,
                      and (4) sustainability assessment. The report focuses on the
                      first step (generation of consistent energy futures). Based
                      on the cross‐impact balance approach 3 different energy
                      futures are developed which com‐ply to a great extent to
                      the challenge of consistency: (I) Increasing competition –
                      ship‐wreck of climate protection policy, (II) Prosperity
                      for everyone ‐ Europe’s pioneering task for climate
                      protection policy is underachieved, and (III) Resource
                      scarcity – Europe’s cli‐mate protection path succeeds
                      in reductions of GHGs and energy demand. These energy
                      futures provide the basis for the selection of assumptions
                      and quantification of frame‐work data for quantitative
                      energy scenarios in step 2.},
      cin          = {IEK-STE},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
      pnm          = {151 - Transformation of Energy Systems (POF2-151) / HITEC -
                      Helmholtz Interdisciplinary Doctoral Training in Energy and
                      Climate Research (HITEC) (HITEC-20170406)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF2-151 / G:(DE-Juel1)HITEC-20170406},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)15},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/141026},
}