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@ARTICLE{Markewitz:845522,
      author       = {Markewitz, Peter and Robinius, Martin and Stolten, Detlef},
      title        = {{T}he {F}uture of {F}ossil {F}ired {P}ower {P}lants in
                      {G}ermany—{A} {L}ifetime {A}nalysis},
      journal      = {Energies},
      volume       = {11},
      number       = {6},
      issn         = {1996-1073},
      address      = {Basel},
      publisher    = {MDPI},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2018-02756},
      pages        = {1616 -},
      year         = {2018},
      abstract     = {In many German energy projections, the assumption of power
                      plant lifetimes plays a central role, since it is often used
                      in projections for the existing fleet of power plants or as
                      a criterion for decommissioning in model-based
                      investigations. The result of these analyses is a power
                      plant capacity retirement graph, which is then used to
                      determine the replacement demand. Especially in the context
                      of the German Energy transition (“Energiewende”) the
                      amount and dynamics of replacement play an important role.
                      Against this background, a large number of studies have been
                      evaluated and fleet developments compared. Many studies
                      refer to empirical values for the assumption of lifetimes
                      without specifying them in greater detail. This approach was
                      used to conduct an ex post lifetime analysis—accurate to
                      each number of units—of German power plants that have been
                      decommissioned since 1990. The analysis is conducted with
                      the aid of a power plant database, which has been
                      continuously updated for each individual unit since 1985. In
                      addition to the power plants currently in operation, the
                      database includes also includes power plant units that have
                      been successively decommissioned over the past decades. The
                      ex post analysis presents the first lifetime analysis for
                      decommissioned German plants, which can serve as a basis for
                      future power plant fleet projections. The analyses show that
                      the lifetime of fossil-fired power plants has extended
                      considerably. For example, whereas the real lifetimes of
                      coal-fired power plants were in a range of 30 to 35 years in
                      the 1990s, today they amount to 40 to 45 years on average.},
      cin          = {IEK-3},
      ddc          = {620},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-3-20101013},
      pnm          = {134 - Electrolysis and Hydrogen (POF3-134)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-134},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000436552700294},
      doi          = {10.3390/en11061616},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/845522},
}