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@ARTICLE{Maharjan:858069,
author = {Maharjan, Ganga Ram and Hoffmann, Holger and Webber, Heidi
and Srivastava, Amit Kumar and Weihermüller, Lutz and
Villa, Ana and Coucheney, Elsa and Lewan, Elisabet and
Trombi, Giacomo and Moriondo, Marco and Bindi, Marco and
Grosz, Balazs and Dechow, Rene and Kuhnert, Mathias and
Doro, Luca and Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian and Stella, Tommaso
and Specka, Xenia and Nendel, Claas and Constantin, Julie
and Raynal, Hélène and Ewert, Frank and Gaiser, Thomas},
title = {{E}ffects of input data aggregation on simulated crop
yields in temperate and {M}editerranean climates},
journal = {European journal of agronomy},
volume = {103},
issn = {1161-0301},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {FZJ-2018-06987},
pages = {32 - 46},
year = {2019},
abstract = {Soil-crop models are used to simulate ecological processes
from the field to the regional scale. Main inputs are soil
and climate data in order to simulate model response
variables such as crop yield. We investigate the effect of
changing the resolution of input data on simulated crop
yields at a regional scale using up to ten dynamic crop
models. For these models we compared the effects of spatial
input data aggregation for wheat and maize yield of two
regions with contrasting climate conditions (1) Tuscany
(Italy, Mediterranean climate) and (2) North Rhine
Westphalia (NRW, Germany, temperate climate). Soil and
climate data of 1 km resolution were aggregated to
resolutions of 10, 25, 50, and 100 km by selecting the
dominant soil class (and corresponding soil properties) and
by arithmetic averaging, respectively. Differences in yield
simulated at coarser resolutions from the yields simulated
at 1 km resolution were calculated to quantify the effect
of the aggregation of the input data (soil and climate data)
on simulation results.The mean yield difference (bias) at
the regional level was positive due to the upscaling of
productive dominant soil(s) to coarser resolution. In both
regions and for both crops, aggregation effects (i.e. errors
in simulation of crop yields at coarser spatial resolution)
due to the combined aggregation of soil and climate input
data increased with decreasing resolution, whereby the
aggregation error for Tuscany was larger than for North
Rhine Westphalia (NRW). The average absolute percentage
yield differences between grid cell yields at the coarsest
resolution (100 km) compared to the finest resolution
(1 km) were by about $20–30\%$ for Tuscany and less than
15 and $20\%$ for NRW for winter wheat and silage maize,
respectively.In the Mediterranean area, the prediction
errors of the simulated yields could reach up to $60\%$ when
looking at individual crop model simulations. Additionally,
aggregating soil data caused larger aggregation errors in
both regions than aggregating climate data.Those results
suggest that a higher spatial resolution of climate and
especially of soil input data are necessary in Mediterranean
areas than in temperate humid regions of central Europe in
order to predict reliable regional yield estimations with
crop models. For generalization of these outcomes, further
investigations in other sub-humid or semi-arid regions will
be necessary.},
cin = {IBG-3},
ddc = {640},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
pnm = {255 - Terrestrial Systems: From Observation to Prediction
(POF3-255) / MACSUR - Modelling European Agriculture with
Climate Change for Food Security (2812-ERA-158)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-255 / G:(DE-BLE)2812-ERA-158},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000456753000004},
doi = {10.1016/j.eja.2018.11.001},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/858069},
}