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@ARTICLE{Weber:863152,
author = {Weber, Juliane and Heinrichs, Heidi Ursula and Gillessen,
Bastian and Schumann, Diana and Hörsch, Jonas and Brown,
Tom and Witthaut, Dirk},
title = {{C}ounter-intuitive behaviour of energy system models under
{CO}2 caps and prices},
journal = {Energy},
volume = {170},
issn = {0360-5442},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {FZJ-2019-03251},
pages = {22 - 30},
year = {2019},
abstract = {The mitigation of climate change requires a fundamental
transition of the energy system. Affordability, reliability
and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions constitute
central but often conflicting targets for this energy
transition. Against this context, we reveal limitations and
counter-intuitive results in the model-based optimization of
energy systems, which are often applied for policy advice.
When system costs are minimized in the presence of a CO2
cap, efficiency gains free a part of the CO2 cap, allowing
cheap technologies to replace expensive low-emission
technologies. Even more striking results are observed in a
setup where emissions are minimized in the presence of a
budget constraint. Increasing CO2 prices can oust clean, but
expensive technologies out of the system, and eventually
lead to higher emissions. These effects robustly occur in
models of different scope and complexity. Hence, extreme
care is necessary in the application of energy system
optimization models to avoid misleading policy advice.},
cin = {IEK-STE},
ddc = {600},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of
Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153) /
VH-NG-1025 - Helmholtz Young Investigators Group
"Efficiency, Emergence and Economics of future supply
networks" $(VH-NG-1025_20112014)$ / ES2050 - Energie Sytem
2050 (ES2050)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153 / $G:(HGF)VH-NG-1025_20112014$ /
G:(DE-HGF)ES2050},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000460845700003},
doi = {10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.052},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/863152},
}