Abstract FZJ-2021-00761

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Deep learning for short-term temperature forecasts with video prediction methods

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2020

European Geosciences Union 2020, EGU2020, VirtualVirtual, Austria, 4 May 2020 - 8 May 20202020-05-042020-05-08

Abstract: This study explores the adaptation of state-of-the-art deep learning architectures for video frame prediction in the context of weather and climate applications. A proof-of-concept case study was performed to predict surface temperature fields over Europe for up to 20 hours based on ERA5 reanalyses weather data. Initial results have been achieved with a PredNet and a GAN-based architecture by using various combinations of temperature, surface pressure, and 500 hPa geopotential as inputs. The results show that the GAN-based architecture outperforms the PredNet. To facilitate the massive data processing and testing of various deep learning architectures, we have developed a containerized parallel workflow for the full life-cycle of the application, which consists of data extraction, data pre-processing, training, post-processing and visualisation of results. The training for PredNet was parallelized on JUWELS supercomputer at JSC, and the training scalability performance was also evaluated.


Contributing Institute(s):
  1. Jülich Supercomputing Center (JSC)
Research Program(s):
  1. 512 - Data-Intensive Science and Federated Computing (POF3-512) (POF3-512)
  2. IntelliAQ - Artificial Intelligence for Air Quality (787576) (787576)
  3. Earth System Data Exploration (ESDE) (ESDE)

Appears in the scientific report 2020
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 Record created 2021-01-25, last modified 2023-01-27



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