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@ARTICLE{Kraus:906316,
      author       = {Kraus, Stefan and Grube, Thomas and Stolten, Detlef},
      title        = {{M}obility {T}rends in {T}ransport {S}ector {M}odeling},
      journal      = {Future transportation},
      volume       = {2},
      number       = {1},
      issn         = {2673-7590},
      address      = {Basel},
      publisher    = {MDPI},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2022-01366},
      pages        = {184 - 215},
      year         = {2022},
      abstract     = {Transport sector models help provide strategic information
                      for the future development of the transportation sector.
                      Such long-term scenarios are typically challenged by
                      uncertainties. Moreover, certain trends, such as the
                      transition to zero-emission transportation systems and modal
                      shifts, as well as connected, shared and autonomous
                      vehicles, are already apparent today. Therefore, this paper
                      investigates the impact of these trends on greenhouse gas
                      emissions, as well as their implementation in transport
                      sector modeling thus far. The investigations are structured
                      into the four main parts of transport sector greenhouse gas
                      emission calculation: activity, modal share, energy
                      intensity and fuel carbon intensity. Our analysis of the
                      related effects reveals their importance to the
                      transportation sector of the future. Current models and
                      scenarios widely consider trends such as the modal shift and
                      electrification. However, other trends such as the sharing
                      economy and automated driving are not commonly regarded in
                      the context of transport sector modeling. The coupling of
                      the different types of models and collaboration among
                      researchers from the different fields is recommended for
                      filling this gap.},
      cin          = {IEK-3},
      ddc          = {380},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-3-20101013},
      pnm          = {1111 - Effective System Transformation Pathways (POF4-111)
                      / 1112 - Societally Feasible Transformation Pathways
                      (POF4-111)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1111 / G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1112},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:001274269200001},
      doi          = {10.3390/futuretransp2010010},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/906316},
}