Journal Article

FZJ-2021-03812

http://join2-wiki.gsi.de/foswiki/pub/Main/Artwork/join2_logo100x88.png Compliance with NPIs and possible deleterious effects on mitigation of an epidemic outbreak

Barbarossa, M. V. ; Fuhrmann, J. (Corresponding author)FZJ*

2021
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Please use a persistent id in citations: http://hdl.handle.net/2128/28745  doi:10.1016/j.idm.2021.06.001

Abstract: The first attempt to control and mitigate an epidemic outbreak caused by a previously unknown virus occurs primarily via non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). In case of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which since the early days of 2020 caused the COVID-19 pandemic, NPIs aimed at reducing transmission-enabling contacts between individuals. The effectiveness of contact reduction measures directly correlates with the number of individuals adhering to such measures. Here, we illustrate by means of a very simple compartmental model how partial noncompliance with NPIs can prevent these from stopping the spread of an epidemic.

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Contributing Institute(s):

1. Jülich Supercomputing Center (JSC)

Research Program(s):

1. 5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation & Data Life Cycle Labs (SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511) (POF4-511)

Appears in the scientific report 2021

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Database coverage:
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