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| Journal Article | FZJ-2026-03204 |
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2026
Založba ZRC
Ljubljana
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Please use a persistent id in citations: doi:10.3986/AGS.14632
Abstract: Climate change is altering hydrological processes and water availability, requiring robust long-term analyses based on consistent data and models. In the article, the main components of the hydrological water balance––precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff––in Slovenia for the period 1972–2024 are analysed. The analysis is based on results from a verified national-scale mGROWA water balance model. The objective of study is to identify trends that could be relevant for water resources management in a changing climate. A key finding is that evapotranspiration has increased significantly in large parts of the country. However, above-average precipitation in recent years has so far compensated for this increase, preventing a country-wide decline in average runoff. Finally, a hydro-climatological trend indicator is proposed as a future element for monitoring the water balance components in Slovenia.
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