Journal Article

FZJ-2018-05398

http://join2-wiki.gsi.de/foswiki/pub/Main/Artwork/join2_logo100x88.png Simple versus complex physical representation of the radiative forcing from linear contrails; A sensitivity analysis

Rodriguez De León, R. (Corresponding author) ; Lim, L. L. ; Lee, D. S. ; Bennett, M. ; Krämer, M.FZJ*

2018
Wiley Hoboken, NJ

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Please use a persistent id in citations: http://hdl.handle.net/2128/19701  doi:10.1002/2017JD027861

Abstract: An off‐line complex representation of the radiative forcing of linear contrails is applied for the first time to monthly mean 3‐D distributions. This representation assumes the same temperature‐dependent, spatially and time‐varying functions of ice water content and particle size for contrails as for natural cirrus. This complex representation is contrasted with more commonly used simplified setups in which fixed contrail optical depth values [0.1 to 0.3] are prescribed and from which the results show differences covering a factor of 3 assuming fixed or variable contrail layer altitudes. This prescribed range of representative fixed altitudes resulted in differences covering a factor of 2 when the optical depth was also fixed. Prescribing fixed particle sizes also resulted in differences covering a factor of 2 if altitude and optical depth are also fixed. In contrast, the inclusion of the dependence of the contrail ice water content on temperature produced differences of around 20% or less when assuming the same ranges of altitudes and ice particle sizes, resulting in a much improved confidence in the radiative forcing estimates and more accurate spatial and temporal representations of the radiative interaction between contrails and the background meteorology. Assuming a contrail vertical extent of 500 m, a 9 mW m−2 annual mean contrail radiative forcing is estimated, with an uncertainty range between 1 and 23 mW m−2 based on the ice water content's observed variability.

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Contributing Institute(s):

1. Stratosphäre (IEK-7)

Research Program(s):

1. 244 - Composition and dynamics of the upper troposphere and middle atmosphere (POF3-244) (POF3-244)

Appears in the scientific report 2018

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Database coverage:
; ; ; Current Contents - Physical, Chemical and Earth Sciences ; IF < 5 ; JCR ; NCBI Molecular Biology Database ; SCOPUS ; Science Citation Index ; Science Citation Index Expanded ; Thomson Reuters Master Journal List ; Web of Science Core Collection

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