Journal Article

FZJ-2021-00689

http://join2-wiki.gsi.de/foswiki/pub/Main/Artwork/join2_logo100x88.png Forecasting the Permanent Loss of Lake Ice in the Northern Hemisphere Within the 21st Century

Sharma, S. (Corresponding author) ; Blagrave, K. ; Filazzola, A. ; Imrit, M. A. ; Hendricks Franssen, H.-J.FZJ*

2021
Wiley Hoboken, NJ

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Please use a persistent id in citations: http://hdl.handle.net/2128/27006  doi:10.1029/2020GL091108

Abstract: Lake ice cover is essential to conserving the global freshwater supply for the 50 million lakesthat freeze each winter. Here, we ask when lakes across the Northern Hemisphere may permanently loseice cover. A K-means cluster analysis from 31 lakes identified four clusters of lakes vulnerable to losing icecover, including shallow and deep lakes in regions where winter air temperatures hover ∼0 °C and largerand deeper lakes in colder regions. By the end of this century, we estimate that up to 5,679 lakes of 1.35million HydroLAKES may permanently lose ice cover if greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) continue tobe emitted at current levels. In the Northern Hemisphere, lakes in southern and coastal regions, some ofwhich are among the largest lakes in the world and in close proximity to large human populations, are themost vulnerable to permanently losing ice.

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Contributing Institute(s):

1. Agrosphäre (IBG-3)

Research Program(s):

1. 2173 - Agro-biogeosystems: controls, feedbacks and impact (POF4-217) (POF4-217)

Appears in the scientific report 2021

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Database coverage:
; ; Clarivate Analytics Master Journal List ; Current Contents - Physical, Chemical and Earth Sciences ; DEAL Wiley ; Ebsco Academic Search ; Essential Science Indicators ; IF < 5 ; JCR ; SCOPUS ; Science Citation Index Expanded ; Web of Science Core Collection

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